[16NL FR] - ATo turn spot in squeezed pot

I squeeze pre because SB is a fish and I think I'm ahead of his calling range but I end up getting called two ways. I was a bit unsure whether to bet the flop here but decided I can bet for value vs the fish and have Ah blocker to NFD's, reg ends up calling and fish folds.

BTN: 21/17 with 20% f3bet (5 samples) over 223 hands total

I think his range on the turn is something like QQ,AJ,KJ,QJ,JT,KQ,9T,89,JJ,TT,99,88. If I check then he'll check back the majority of his hands and if I shove he'll fold 88 maybe 89,9T,QQ but that might be close.

Typing out this hand kinda answers my own question that I think it should be a check fold but I'm still interested to see what people say :)


Poker Stars, $0.08/$0.16 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $10.57 (66.1 bb)
Hero (BB): $16 (100 bb)
MP1: $7.76 (48.5 bb)
MP2: $16 (100 bb)
MP3: $18.79 (117.4 bb)
CO: $16 (100 bb)
BTN: $16 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with T:spade: A:heart:
4 folds, BTN raises to $0.40, SB calls $0.32, Hero raises to $1.60, BTN calls $1.20, SB calls $1.20

Flop: ($4.80) J:heart: J:diamond: T:heart: (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2.40, BTN calls $2.40, SB folds

Turn: ($9.60) 9:heart: (2 players)
[color="red"]Hero ??

hero shoves..

Quote:

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Originally Posted by acg123

hero shoves..

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reasoning?

villain flats a lot of 3bs. hes only folding 3% of his opens, I expect him to have a lot of PPs, broadways and AK,AQ type hands 4bet % would be helpful too. since he flat called we can rule out KK,AA probably QQ and JJ too but well leave JJ in there.
if his range is JJ-77, AQs-A8s, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KJo+, QJo we have 54% OTT mostly because he hold NFD blocker. I would jam and take note of his holdings regardless of outcome.