1/2 £ deep on turbo-table, difficult river

I would probably fold here

- call it and be wrong is more than 250bb mistake and he can have those KK and 33

What's up with his turn bet?

Wow, shitty spot against a thinking player.

Wow thats pretty sick.

I mean, I gotta figure he's not over-betting the turn with K's full or 3's full. It just seems odd that he'd do that with a boat.

I suppose he might do that with A9.

He's already been caught sorta bluffing, so I feel like he's probably not bluffing here. This is a bad spot. Given his sizing, I suppose the times he has you beat outweigh the times he's value towning himself with this sizing or bluffing.

Crappy spot... I feel like we're folding our entire range here.... hmm...

Folding here. I don't expect a higher stakes player to be expecting a 200NL player to fold much of his 9x here especially since he's already seen him to be running multi street bluffs before. If he's bluffing, his motive has to be because he expects us to fold a lot of our 9s since he can fold out weaker here by overbetting much less.

The fact this is a turbo table though idk perhaps this makes we wanna call more just because of the frequency that hero times out in confusion and mucks. Bleh I prolly still fold though based on how very low I think his bluffing frequency is here.

Originally Posted by griffey24

I mean, I gotta figure he's not over-betting the turn with K's full or 3's full. It just seems odd that he'd do that with a boat.

Why do you think this??

- we can't have KK (raise pre), K9 (fold pre), 33 (fold on flop), so if has those he must be sure that it is nuts
- and we are probably fold FD or TT, etc. on the turn to "normal" size bet, but it's so hard to fold K or 9 here, so I think it is good to value bet big, if we are villain

Originally Posted by griffey24

Crappy spot... I feel like we're folding our entire range here.... hmm...

wow this is very good point