1/2: thin river spot

uhm, one combo of 33, 3 combos of 66, 3 combos of QQ (not heavily weighted), 3 combos of TT (not heavily weighted)... so uh ... generously 6 combos of hands which can shove for value. you can also hold .. like 12 combos AJ, 12 combos AT, 30 combos mid PPs, occasional bway or 54s. so uhm, 45+ combos of potential bluffs. he's also going to be getting 124:292, 2.3 to 1 or so on a call.

so the question in his mind is will you bluff with say 1/16 of your air combos?

and all this is if we grant he holds a bluffcatcher like AA/KK/AQ, he can definitely hold all boats himself sometime.

i mean, in his shoes i might fold AA just thinking "wow, this guy cant be this crazy!?!", but im not even considering folding 3x or better

Originally Posted by sauce123

in his shoes i might fold AA just thinking "wow, this guy cant be this crazy!?!"

That's precisely what I was trying to accomplish. I won't deny that it's a little fancy, but this was against one of the very best regs who I will be playing against every day. I thought seeing what he does here will easily be worth a few dollars potentially lost in EV. Even if he calls me I'm certain that he won't put me on the correct level of thought. Now, can you dig it?

What is your 3bet? If it's high, and he perceives you as 3betting TT+ then you're for sure getting snapped off.

The only hand I can realistically see playing this way that we beat, and that might fold is JJ.