Yeah I'm not considering improving, though obviously that gives us a little more equity. But I do think we block hands he's repping... as already stated, we don't have JTs in our range all that often, though obv we do sometimes if we're 3betting 89s. Knowing this, villain can rep 88 and 99 because if he has these, they're very close to the nuts. As far as I'm concerned, he has 44 88 99 TJs and occasionally 56dd. And of course bluffs. How many bluffs and semi bluffs he has is not something I'm in any position to estimate. I expect JTdd to raise flop so I'm giving him 8 (maybe 9) combos that beat us, but he might figure we're beat my more than 8 combos. This is what I mean by being under repped. I suspect he thinks we have an overpair. Does he think we can fold it? I don't know, but if he thinks so, then I expect him to bluff with a high frequency, certainly enough to balance out the 8 combos we lose to.
I could just be levelling myself into stationing off here, and this could easily be one of the reasons I'm stuck at lower stakes. But folding hurts here and it makes me feel particularly exploitable.
Originally Posted by wufwugy
Reply With Quote