100nl TP+turned combodraw

Villain is a 2p2 reg,probably has about 2.5k hands on me and knows I can easily have air when i fire 2nd barrel.
He is 33/11/1.1- a complete station, will call my cbets w/AQhigh all day long, just flats his big hands (like flopped sets) as well and then pots river as "oh shit i missed my value".

$0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG PUSHERM4N ($102.50)
UTG+1 ($131.21)
CO walterbh ($287.71)
BTN Hero ($149.00)
SB Fossman1978 ($110.08)
BB SalviaAddict ($101.25)

Pre-flop: ($1.50, 6 players) Hero is BTN
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $2, 1 fold, Hero raises to $6.50, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls $4.50

Flop: ($14.50, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $11, UTG+1 calls $11

Turn: ($36.50, 2 players)
UT+1 checks, Hero bets $22, UTG+1 raises to $44, Hero calls $22
His turn raise is a bit weird since I dont really know wether he does it for value or just attempting to get me off a bluff. Usually stations minraise for value so it got me concerned.
River: ($124.50, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $24, UTG+1 calls $24
Now if the turn minraise was just a bluff with AK/JJ or TJ kind hand- it will be hard for him to fold getting 5:1. If, on the other hand he did turn a straight on me he will shove here almost all the time.

Does that reasoning make any sense here?

Dude, are you working for Walmart or something?

You let him off soooooooo cheap.

Guy has like 1/2 pot left - easiest river shove of all time.

I check the turn, he's never folding to a second barrel on this turn card

Originally Posted by Fnord

Dude, are you working for Walmart or something?

You let him off soooooooo cheap.

lol

as played definitely shove river, and i dont mind a turn check.

Originally Posted by bigspenda73

I check the turn, he's never folding to a second barrel on this turn card

Folding? We have TPGK, a flush draw, and a gutshot straight draw... I don't think we WANT him to fold. Our equity is enormous vs. a guy we already know is a station and capable of calling with JT and the like. I think betting there is totally fine. The only thing that we should really be worried about is two pair (especially T9, given the action and the turn card) - but we even have 15 outs vs. that.