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 Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan
If you check and he shoves you are going to be getting 4 to 1 on a call, which means you have to be winning 20% of the time to have a call be profitable. It's really as simple as that. The simple idea that I think its plausible that you are winning or chopping makes this an easy call.
But back to the actual hand I'd absolutely shove. You are giving yourself too much credit on your ability to read this guys hand.
I wise man once taught me that calling in spots where you are never good is one of the worst mistakes you can make in this game. I guess we don't agree about this being such a spot, but I think it is and I've got to go with my reads. It's not like folding is going to be a huge mistake even if I'm wrong.
If I thought he could have called the turn with J9 I would definitely have jammed the river, but since I think he never has that (or AJ) I think c/f is the correct play.
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