|
|
 Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan
This thread actually isn't pointless. It reveals a flaw in your thought process regarding the sureness of your own hand reading. No matter how much you think your opponents range can be narrowed down to hand x,y, and z exclusively, you shouldn't totally throw out every other plausible hand he could play this way. You should simply weight x,y, and z more heavily than those other hands, but only slightly or a moderate amount.
Yeah this is of course correct, just pretty damn hard to do while playing. I mean theoretically with your logic I should include 72o with a tiny million to one probability in every range. Can't do that so we need to include only what we think is significant.
I think the probability of villain showing up with J9 or AJ is small enough to be insignificant. I think he has me beat approx 95% of the time he jams this river. In this hand I expect him to 4bet J9/AJ on the flop, but I don't consider it an insignificant part of his range until he just calls the turn.
|
Reply With Quote