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 Originally Posted by eragotte
From his perspective he is probably semi tilted and sees you as knowing that. He wants his money back and he ships the flop with AsXx, made flushes, 88, 66, 33, a range that you cannot profitably call against obviously. The fact that your considering a call here makes it seem like it isn't too bad a play by him.
I don't think you're looking at this right. Sure, you could be right, his range could be suuuper narrow as stated. And yes, I might be calling here with KKs and getting owned by his potentially tight range. But his play is still so bad, despite the fact I'm wanting to call KKs.
As it stands, if he bets normally on 3 streets with his 'tight range' here, then I'd still probably end up losing 60ish bb's with KKs. However there's a huge part of my range (8x, 99+, 79, KsQ, Asx) that would lose around 20bbs potentially if he bets normally on the flop/turn. The number of combos of those hands way outnumbers the very few combos that will call and stackoff for 100bbs.
coles notes: his play is getting him 100bbs from ~1% of my range (1bb expected) instead of 20bbs from ~20% of my range (4bb expected). (this isn't even accounting for the fact that when I call the 100bb shove I have equity in the pot often)
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