Why can't DerekJC think ESS would barrel the turn every time he's holding Kx for balance and sometimes be checking behind hands like 99/TT that are now value betting river, and now DJC can think ESS is value betting thinly and can rep a K and push ESS off smaller pair? Or is it a problem that if ESS can be chking back 99/TT that we can't assume he's not ever chking back Kx and thus Derek can't make this play as a bluff?

I realize Nuts said DJC never has a K, but does ESS really know that? It's definitely plausible DJC is donking flop w/ a hand like 55-77 and now turning those into bluffs....

Is this line of thinking completely off mark?