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3 bullets : Likey/No Likey?

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  1. #1

    Default 3 bullets : Likey/No Likey?

    Villain seems semi-fishy depite being tightish preflop (I’d guess he’s something like 21/13). I’ve been surprisingly well-behaved at this table lately :

    ***** Hand History for Game 5628824290 *****
    $200 NL Texas Hold'em - Tuesday, January 30, 11:16:25 ET 2007
    Table Table 125784 (Real Money)
    Seat 6 is the button
    Total number of players : 6
    Seat 6: HERO ( $444.30 )
    Seat 4: pimpitupbro ( $465.64 )
    Seat 2: AAlchoAAnom ( $250.45 )
    Seat 3: tu0mari ( $378 )
    Seat 1: prrrmiaow ( $212.55 )
    Seat 5: Maniacoz ( $200 )
    prrrmiaow posts small blind [$1].
    AAlchoAAnom posts big blind [$2].

    ** Dealing down cards **
    Dealt to HERO [ 4s Ah ]
    tu0mari folds.
    pimpitupbro folds.
    Maniacoz folds.
    HERO raises [$7]
    prrrmiaow folds.
    AAlchoAAnom calls [$5]

    ** Dealing Flop ** [ 7d, 8s, 6h ]
    AAlchoAAnom checks.
    HERO bets [$11]
    AAlchoAAnom calls [$11]

    ** Dealing Turn ** [ Th ]
    AAlchoAAnom checks.
    HERO bets [$31]
    AAlchoAAnom calls [$31]

    ** Dealing River ** [ 6d ]
    AAlchoAAnom checks.
    HERO bets [$77]
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
  2. #2
    Meh. I think once you fire the 2nd bullet you pretty much have to fire the third on most river cards. It's hard to fathom what he check/calls with twice, then folds. 55? JJ? A8?

    I can't decide if the 6 on the river is a good card to bluff or not... I guess it's neutral. He's not folding a straight fearing a boat, nor 2 pair fearing trip 6s.
  3. #3
    I was hoping he'd fold a 7 or an 8
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
  4. #4
    I think he's def. folding a 7 or an 8. Although he could of called with something like 56s, not sure if he'd fold that.

    I like the bet. A str8 would bet out river in most cases no?
    Nine to five is how to survive - I ain't trying to survive / I'm trying to live it to the limit and love it a lot //

    Can offer RB deals on most sites, PM me.
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by Alexos
    I think he's def. folding a 7 or an 8. Although he could of called with something like 56s, not sure if he'd fold that.

    I like the bet. A str8 would bet out river in most cases no?
    or...

    villain could call the flop w A10 and spike a 10 on the turn then call the river lol.
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by Genitruc
    Quote Originally Posted by Alexos
    I think he's def. folding a 7 or an 8. Although he could of called with something like 56s, not sure if he'd fold that.

    I like the bet. A str8 would bet out river in most cases no?
    or...

    villain could call the flop w A10 and spike a 10 on the turn then call the river lol.
    Donkadonk

    You still like the bet, right?
  7. #7
    Yeah I still like the bet, given my read. I just underestimated his donkishness (so I like my bet, not my read ).

    Looked over some HH and saw a hand where he called a PSB on river w A high. Guess I wasn't paying enough attn to tables lol!
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
  8. #8
    I tried this recently on a similar 4 to the str8 board and tight/donkish opp + solid image, but was called down by a flopped set.
    fishy types are so risky to 2 or 3 barell!
  9. #9
    Yeah, I know what you mean.

    Seat 1 is the button
    Total number of players : 6
    Seat 1: MAHAUL ( $220.95 )
    Seat 2: maszi ( $176.45 )
    Seat 4: CANURUN ( $201.15 )
    Seat 5: Athelias ( $91.70 )
    Seat 6: DaMaKa71 ( $99.15 )
    Seat 3: HERO ( $200 )
    maszi posts small blind [$1].
    HERO posts big blind [$2].

    ** Dealing down cards **
    Dealt to HERO [ Kd Qs ]
    CANURUN calls [$2]
    Athelias folds.
    DaMaKa71 folds.
    MAHAUL folds.
    maszi raises [$3]
    HERO calls [$2]
    CANURUN calls [$2]

    ** Dealing Flop ** [ 2d, 9s, 7d ]
    maszi bets [$6]
    HERO raises [$21]
    CANURUN folds.
    maszi calls [$15]

    ** Dealing Turn ** [ 3s ]
    maszi checks.
    HERO bets [$37]
    maszi calls [$37]

    ** Dealing River ** [ 6c ]
    maszi checks.
    HERO is all-In.
    maszi folds.
    HERO does not show cards.
    HERO wins $262.50
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
  10. #10
    I was thinking villain could have 89 or something like that, for a turned straight, and played it slow to get more bets out of the aggressor?

    Thats a hard turn card to call, without a 9, or without a 10 I'd imagine.

    I can't see a turn call and a river fold here, I think he called your third barrel?
  11. #11
    Quote Originally Posted by griffey24
    I was thinking villain could have 89 or something like that, for a turned straight, and played it slow to get more bets out of the aggressor?

    Thats a hard turn card to call, without a 9, or without a 10 I'd imagine.

    I can't see a turn call and a river fold here, I think he called your third barrel?
    bingo

    villain turn TEH TOP PAIR

    no way could I get him to fold a monster like that!
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
  12. #12
    Muddywater wrote an article about firing that second barrell in low limit cash games.

    http://www.pocketfives.com/903C60CB-...C9AE59A8F.aspx
  13. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by griffey24
    I was thinking villain could have 89 or something like that, for a turned straight, and played it slow to get more bets out of the aggressor?

    Thats a hard turn card to call, without a 9, or without a 10 I'd imagine.

    I can't see a turn call and a river fold here, I think he called your third barrel?
    that's exactly what I was thinking; if the turn card was not a connector or capped-connector to the flop i would like the play.
    If I had a hammer
    I'd drop in the morning
    I'd drop in the evening..
  14. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by stuck
    Quote Originally Posted by griffey24
    I was thinking villain could have 89 or something like that, for a turned straight, and played it slow to get more bets out of the aggressor?

    Thats a hard turn card to call, without a 9, or without a 10 I'd imagine.

    I can't see a turn call and a river fold here, I think he called your third barrel?
    that's exactly what I was thinking; if the turn card was not a connector or capped-connector to the flop i would like the play.
    god i ma noob

    "capped connector" = overcard that gives gutshot on flop?
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
  15. #15
    Quote Originally Posted by zenbitz
    I think once you fire the 2nd bullet you pretty much have to fire the third on most river cards. It's hard to fathom what he check/calls with twice, then folds.
    This is completely inconsistent. I agree with the second statement and therefore disagree with the first.

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