|
1) I just don't see that many 8x in his range, most regs with highish fold to 3 bets don't defend stuff like 78s or a8s in this spot, and if they did they definitely wouldn't be folding this turn and possibly not river depending on how they think. His range is gonna be some thing like mid to high pp's, suited broadway's, off suit aq and maybe a handful of other suited things on occasion. The vast majority of which that called the flop and turn are never folding any river even if it's an ace or queen, as I don't think jamming either of those cards in hero's position for value/merge is correct in the described situation, so then you have to venture into close eyes and check call mode as he's going to jam atc which is just a bad spot to be in.
2) In my recent experience I and most regs are never folding anything on the turn that we called the flop with for value bar maybe aq
3) This may be true but for the reasons stated above I would much rather the the turn be a blank as my 2 barrel in that spot would get infinitely more respect and folds.
4) A large majority of the time he won't have those in his range and if he does the only way to fold them would be to fire 3 which as previously mentioned I feel is largely -ev.
Basically just c/f turn and don't feel like that's weak, it's just unfortunate that exact turn card was to fall.
|