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 Originally Posted by Alexos
Kind of surprised at the amount of ppl saying easy bet/call here with any SD hand. After such history with villain, I always assume he's not crazy enough to take a more elaborate bluff line like c/shoving here as a bluff.
I'm just saying that I think the risk of being checkraised as a bluff here is too high for us to betfold for value. I don't think it's very likely that his plan is to c/c on this river. I would certainly need more reads on villain before I would attempt to induce with KQ/A4 or whatever.
I think it's a little suspicious that he overbets like this when we very rarely have a boat ourselves since we can't have A3, QQ, 33 or 88.
I also don't think a bluff here is very elaborate for a weak player. He gives up on the river with his missed draws and when we bet he realises that he can jam and it's going to be very unlikely that we have a hand that can call him.
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