Good post toad. I honestly don't have anywhere near enough reads on this particular villain to know that they'd perceive a bigger bet as being more polarized and be more likely to hero call.

When in doubt I think a decent default is to just value town with a more moderate bet.

If I got c/shoved here though I'm definitely folding. Not sure what my calling range should be though. Probably most flushes, as I don't think he ever has a boat here given flop/turn action unless he rivered J's full.