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 Originally Posted by swiggidy
good post andy, doesn't this logic make 3betting pre-flop wrong? I would assume this villain calls QQ+, maybe TT, AQ+. TT isn't going to bet 3 times so we gain some value there, but we're loosing additional value more often to QQ+ by calling down. AQ+ we're 50/50 against since we're allowing them to see all five cards. So we are automatically forfeiting 45% of the pot equity that we built pre-flop. Calling pre-flop keeps all the rest of the pairs in and all kinds of other stuff our hand plays better against post-flop.
I was led here by the thought that the biggest thing we're giving up by check/calling is protection. I'm not sure how many hands we need protection against with no flush draw, so it seems we chased out too many hands pre-flop.
Protect your stack, not your hand. We are not giving AK all 5 cards, as played I say I c/c the flop, but if it checks through then Im leading the turn. We are going to have a general idea of what cards are going to help our villain and also we will see based on how he bets, so while we are giving free cards in a sense [basically just the turn], we arent always going to pay them off on those cards. Against a player who doesnt have a very tight opening range [which this player doesnt even taking into consideration the sample size] they are going to be _calling_ 3bets with a wider range than that, its much different than when they are making the 3bet.
So let me try to sum this up a little bit. Playing the hand more passively will definitely put us in some tougher spots and even allow our opponent to catch up sometimes. However, this isn't always a bad thing, we just need to learn to play postflop and we need to stop looking at the easy +EV situations and towards the tougher but greater EV decisions.
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