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$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
2 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
BTN ($195.80)
Hero ($240.40)
Pre-flop: ($3, 2 players) Hero is BB
BTN raises to $6, Hero calls $4
Decen't hand, I'm OOP but I'm reasonably comfortable with playing flops with this.
Flop: ($13, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $7, Hero raises to $24, BTN calls $17
Seems like a difficult enough flop for him to miss. I have not information as of yet to make me think that he will play back at a c/r on this board. Just to get to Pelions post here I really don't think random 200NL players get mad aggro with FD's at this point.
Turn: ($61, 2 players)
Hero bets $42, BTN calls $42
I pick up some outs and I put his range at 8x/Jx/FD's/9T/random floats. I think I have some fold equity so I plan to b/f. At this point my plans were the following lines:
River 1: ($145, 2 players)
Hero bets $43,
To make him fold the naked FD/9T part of his range. He only has to fold a small % of the time to make this good.
River 2: ($145, 2 players)
Hero shoves,
value.
I should have had a third plan which would have been something like this:
River 3: ($145, 2 players)
Hero check/calls
Because now I have some showdown value I should give him the chance to turn the missed part of his range into bluffs. I'm pretty certain most 200NL guys aren't good enough to value shove weak jacks or TT here so that makes his river betting range bluffs and 8x.
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