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9 high isn't good so i push

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  1. #1
    gabe's Avatar
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    Default 9 high isn't good so i push

    villian is TAG on a few of my tables, other than that no read.

    is this good

    Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    Button ($678)
    SB ($687.80)
    BB ($407.25)
    UTG ($288.51)
    MP ($297)
    Hero ($764.50)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with 5, 9. SB posts a blind of $3.
    2 folds, Hero raises to $20, Button calls $20, SB (poster) calls $17, 1 fold.

    Flop: ($66) 8, K, 6 (3 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $50, Button calls $50, SB folds.

    Turn: ($166) J (2 players)
    Hero bets $150, Button calls $150.

    River: ($466) 3 (2 players)
    button has $450 left, i have him coverd so i push....
  2. #2
    I don't think he's going anywhere. He probably calls this like 70% of the time. Being oop sucks. In position you might be able to tell if he's on some sort of draw but this really looks like a KJ/KQ type hand.
  3. #3
    You'd think a tag would raise a good hand like 2 pair+ at some point, especially the turn. So it prob means he's weak or on a draw, which means a river bluff could work a lot, but 50%? In my last thread you wrote that big river bets look like bluffs...so why not bet river like 1/2 or 2/3 pot?

    Another possibility is he sees you as a maniac and called down to induce this. That turn bet does seem committing. Being oop definitely sucks. I'd wait for a better read/situation for 3 barrells but I'm more conservative. Do you find this works a lot of the time?
  4. #4
    Not my cup of tea.. but maybe it's necessary at the higher stakes to ever get paid on real hands? I don't really see the merit on an individual basis.. he called two pot-sized bets.. turn and river were pretty much blanks.. why would he fold to a PSB now?
  5. #5
    Nice read. I can't even see a set playing this way as they would have made a move on the turn at least. Looks like he has AQs or he feels he can use his position if you back off. Only a set or possibly KJ would call this - both those hands make their move on the turn.
  6. #6
    gabe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by r8ed
    Only a set or possibly KJ would call this - both those hands make their move on the turn.
    thats exactly what i was thinking.....if not the flop then def. by the turn
  7. #7
    you're crazy, i'll never be able to play this high
  8. #8
    I like this. I'm assuming you haven't been getting out of line, right? What do you think about c/r ai on the turn?
  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by bdawg56kg
    I like this. I'm assuming you haven't been getting out of line, right? What do you think about c/r ai on the turn?

    check raising on turn seems bad because of how often he checks behind if hes on a draw
  10. #10
    If this was me I would fold KQ/AK.

    I don't like c/r turn because of what deepdish said.
  11. #11
    gabe's Avatar
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    so what hand that villian plays like this can he call with
  12. #12
    I call u with top pair easy here....looks like a missed draw, i dont think i would try this vs. a good hand reader.
  13. #13
    theDEEPdish's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by gabe
    so what hand that villian plays like this can he call with

    against you A high
  14. #14
    Regardless of what he has it was played poorly unless he can read you like a book. A set, KJ, AK, QQ(?), AA may be able to call this.
  15. #15
    Quote Originally Posted by theDEEPdish
    check raising on turn seems bad because of how often he checks behind if hes on a draw
    First of all, why is it a bad thing if the turn goes check/check? We get a free look at the river to make our draw. Also, villian could very well be floating the flop (hero did open on co and villian called on button). Lastly, I think you are assuming that villian checks behind all draws here, which I don't think is true at all.

    On a side note, I'm not sure if you guys are being sarastic or not, but I don't think gabe is nearly as LAG/maniac as you guys view him, which is exactly why he expects this river push to be +EV.
  16. #16
    gabe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bdawg56kg
    w. Also, villian could very well be floating the flop
    if we think sometimes his plan was to float, betting seems better than checking
  17. #17
    i like this, a lot. looks like you have exactly KJ
  18. #18
    So did he call w/ AQ and PWN U Gabe!!!???
  19. #19
    gabe's Avatar
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    he had AA and ..uh.... trapped me?
  20. #20
    Quote Originally Posted by Trikflow77
    I call u with top pair easy here....looks like a missed draw, i dont think i would try this vs. a good hand reader.


    obvvv he called.....if you put him on air or a weaker hand why not half pot it or so.....looking for max fold EQ?????
  21. #21
    gabe's Avatar
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    lol....i dont see how you can say missed draw when i bet every street i could
  22. #22
    I think this is fine assuming that you have a set more often than not when you play a hand like this. If you get out of line too often, that's obviously exploitable by a decent TAG who knows how you play, and I think it's OK to occasionally just call someone down with a big hand on a draw-heavy board in order to rep the draw and induce a bluff from them when the draw misses.
  23. #23
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    i like how you played this. I love to see a one pair hand, esp something like AA or even KK if the flop was Qxx becasue it proves players will get it all in when we flop a monster hand here.

    I still cant decide, even without the results whether i like how you played the river here. Tags dont call the turn with a draw here often do they?
  24. #24
    Quote Originally Posted by gabe
    lol....i dont see how you can say missed draw when i bad every street i could

    lol i thought he was betting into u the whole time......
  25. #25
    kind of unrelated. but kind of relevant... not to the hand... but i m curious :

    gabe what do you run at typically

    or is this confidential information
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
  26. #26
    oh yeah.

    if u know he has AA I like the way you played it if you will be sitting with him a lot. he will prob pay you off big.

    or he is just a mediocre player who will always slowplay and never fold AA. why would he do this against you if u are an unknown. i don t understand.
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
  27. #27
    gabe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Genitruc
    kind of unrelated. but kind of relevant... not to the hand... but i m curious :

    gabe what do you run at typically

    or is this confidential information
    depends on my mood

    21/17 on weak passive tables, 18/13 on the other ones
  28. #28
    cool thx
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?

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