A9dd line check 100nl

1- dont lead turn and don't bet like a fish
2-call
3-fold river
4-fold

We are getting almost 3:1 in a spot where we have 52% equity vs a 10% EP range (obv gonna be a bit wider than this since he's not UTG, but evens out since he won't cbet 100% prob just 90%). I'll take my dollars and the variance that comes with it I guess! You can have the redline and momentum :P

Originally Posted by Alexos

1- dont lead turn and don't bet like a fish

I had to create a three bets to all-in scenario where villain puts the last bet in on the river because otherwise we could never even consider folding the nut flush. That's why I called the example "extreme".

I am most definitely leading this turn though. Exploit that.

Originally Posted by Alexos

We are getting almost 3:1 in a spot where we have 52% equity vs a 10% EP range

You are talking about two street hot/cold equity which is sooooo irrelevant here. Calling the flop buys you 9 (almost) clean outs. That's 20%. Where is that margin of safety you are talking about?