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 Originally Posted by gabe
the slightly LAG villian' will never push over a raise here with an overpair, with the possible exception of QQ-AA. i think sets and combo draws (flushdraw + pair/straight draw) make up most of his range.
Well we need to win this hand 35% of the time to justify the call.
We have about 20% equity against a set, and say 50% equity against a combo draw (probably be a bit higher, especially if we consider that it could JUST be a draw, or it could be something like gutshot + flush draw, but 50% seems appropriate.) There's also the possibility of a made straight which has us almost dead, and vise versa with QQ/KK. This line screams combo draw in my experience though, which is what leans me towards a call. I think it's really close though now to be honest.
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