Say hypothetically you decide to take a session you played and analyze it. For the purposes of this, we'll assume that you are a perfect hand reader. Meaning you can precisely ascertain the ranges of your opponents in every situation.

How could you estimate the sum equity of your play during the session?

1. Would it be as simple as estimating the expected values of every bet/raise/call that you make and adding it up at the end?

2. Would it be more like each hand contains a set of plays that stack on each other like a russian doll, and only the last play in the hand matters?

3. Is it simply impossible to do this?


For example, say Wilhelm raises with JhTh and Klaus calls in position. The flop comes Q73 with two spades. Wilhelm bets flop, Klaus calls, turn 9. Wilhelm bets turn, Klaus calls again. River is the Ace of spades. Wilhelm shoves and Klaus folds.

For the purposes of the post session equity sum, would you add the ev's of each of his bets? Surely not. It would seem like only the last play matters. The equities of each bet overlap. The fact that its a profitable cbet on the flop is made possible in part by the fact that sometimes JT makes an oesd on the turn and can bet again profitably.


Thoughts?