AJ Heads Up vs AI

This is the immediate hand after he doubled me up. He had a 2-1 on me and now I have a 2-1 on. Do I gamble here or wait it out if I think I can outplay him? He was fairly loose aggressive


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t800 (2 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Hero (t19820)
Button (t7180)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J, A.
Button raises to t7130, Hero ???

edited this post, have a look again

I'd prolly call, but I'm not too good at HU.

Originally Posted by fjuanl

Do I gamble here or wait it out if I think I can outplay him? He was fairly loose aggressive

I call all day. Even if he does win, it will be about 12k - 14k and you will still have time to outplay him. Had he done this before with a strong/weak hand? This is a pretty good spot, and if you can't put him on a hand then:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 63.5633 % 62.54% 01.03% { AhJs }
Hand 2: 36.4367 % 35.41% 01.03% { random }

This isn't a random hand he's up against.

The best realistic scenario is he's flipping here. Its possible he's dominated, but doubtful, probably just as possible that he's dominating.

If the blinds weren't so cumbersome, I'd consider folding here. With these blinds its probably a call.

Originally Posted by fjuanl

if I think I can outplay him

I think that's really what this comes down to, if you're confident enough to win without putting it all on this hand then you might be able to fold it.

Having said that, since villain only has 9xBB I almost certainly call.

I think you can narrow his range a little more than that.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

5,999,913,216 games 10.109 secs 593,521,932 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 42.5611 % 39.25% 03.31% { 22+, A2s+, K6s+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, QJo }
Hand 2: 57.4389 % 54.13% 03.31% { AJo }

Originally Posted by Darby

I think you can narrow his range a little more than that.

Right on. But still with that, it would make sense to call, correct?

call all day.

If Ted Forrest calls a limp push with AJ HU, you can feel good calling here.

A8, 66 would be tough. AJ I break my arm calling.

At first glance I thought below was a realistic range to put villain on

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 57.8496 % 54.57% 03.27% { AJo }
Hand 2: 42.1504 % 38.88% 03.27% { 22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }

However, if villain is a thinking opponent then with less than 10BB they should be pushing a much wider range. Very similar to what Darby posted, maybe even wider. This should be a clear call when you take into account the blinds.

thanks for the stats darby, i think thats a pretty good range to put him on

Can't find a better spot to call an AI with AJ with 800 blinds to try and eliminate your opponent.

The other guy has a big range of hands that he should be raising with so I'm sure AJ has a good equity on this range.

The thing most people haqven't said is, he probably DOES NOT have herp dominated, since JJ-AA may raise only enough to pot commit themselves, while still hoping for a call.

right o. Plus, hands like K6 are bringing down the numbers, but it's much more like you're in against a worst A than KweakX

Insta-call