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Am I crazy for wanting to fold here?

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  1. #1
    Does he really c/shove here with the nut flush? My range contains very little lower FDs since I'd just prob fold turn with those given action, and it does contain a few slowplays.

    Are you guys saying you'd c/r KQdd here for value or nutflush, because you expect to be good 60% of the time when called? I really think that's too thin on this board.

    I count 10 combos of A9,AA,99. I need to be good here like 40% or something to call, so he needs to have quite a few nut flushes here that decide to value c/shove for me to call.
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  2. #2
    I'm more thinking.. what does he think you have here?

    He'd prob expect you to bet most 9x on the flop. Though that's kind of irrelevant since I don't think he's trying to stack your 9x.

    you might check back A9 sometimes and you probably only have suited A9 anyhow. So if his most likely river jam is Axdd. That means you can only have Ac9c.

    On the turn call you can only have 66 for boats, 3 combos. Some % of the time you might even bet the flop which will minimize those combos even more, but lets say 3.

    So 4 total combos of boats he should be worried about if he has Axdd. You can have 78dd, T8dd, JTdd, QJdd, KJdd, KQdd. I guess he would need you to call most of your flushes for his shove to be good. So perhaps its closer than we all think.

    hmmm
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