AQ facing river donk lead - what do you have?

-villain is pretty tagg 20/16 over 2k hands
-he seems most active, 3betting and 4betting a lot preflop, but his AF isn't that high at only around 2, though he definitely seems more aggro than this AF warrants
- I haven't had that many postflop battles with him lately, but def some preflop spewing matches
-this hand is early on the session, no reads or flow to this session yet


$2/$5 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
Hero (UTG) ($599.00)
CO ($688.00)
BTN ($541.25)
SB ($473.00)
BB ($519.00)

Pre-flop: ($7, 5 players) Hero is UTG
Hero raises to $17, CO calls $17, BTN calls $17, 1 fold, BB calls $12

Flop: ($70, 4 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $40, 2 folds, BB calls $40

Turn: ($150, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $95, BB calls $95

River: ($340, 2 players)
BB bets $289

Call and make a note that he's terrible no matter what he shows. A6s and 8h6h are the only hands that makes sense.

How come we're betting the turn here?

Originally Posted by sweetlemon69

How come we're betting the turn here?

Preflop went 4-way, so I'd expect him to call with a pretty wide range of hands pre given the odds he's getting. He probably has quite a few Axs type hands here I'd imagine.

I don't really think the K changes much at all.

Also, the flop is sooo draw heavy that I'd expect most people to raise their strong hands a fair amount on this flop, esp since I showed strength by betting into the field.

long answer short: I think if we were ahead on the flop, then we're still ahead, and I rarely expect to get c/bombed on this turn. But I need to bet to price the draws.

Uhh, I want to fold the river. I really think opp expects us to call.

I muck it.

Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla

Uhh, I want to fold the river. I really think opp expects us to call.

ding. i struggle with these spots but this is usually the correct answer. hes getting dece odds to call with T7s preflop, and its an ok chance to screwplay a set as well since c/r flop 4way on this board is gonna look mad strong.