ATs turn hammer vs thinking player

My opponent here is easily the strongest player I've run into in these games.
Profile:
o Fairly tight
o Will limp and min-raise, mixed with 3x openers
o Likes to under-bet. Lots of 1/2 pot type bets
o Yet to see him really make a really loose call

He knows I'm pretty aggro and we've been at it on 2 tables.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

MP ($42.95)
CO ($139.25)
Button ($130.35)
SB ($35.50)
Fnord ($148.45)
UTG ($39.10)

Preflop: Fnord is BB with T, A.
UTG calls $1, 1 fold, CO calls $1, 2 folds, Fnord raises to $4, UTG folds, CO calls $3.

Flop: ($9.50) 4, 2, 3 (2 players)
Fnord bets $7, CO calls $7.

Turn: ($23.50) J (2 players)
Fnord checks, CO bets $10, Fnord raises to $40, CO calls $30.

River: ($103.50) 8 (2 players)
Fnord checks, CO bets $88.25 (All-In), Fnord folds.

Final Pot: $191.75

I don't like the turn CR. What are you repping here? It puts you in a horrible spot on the river if you get called and miss your draw. I like either leading for 3/4 pot or check/calling, but I think I lean more towards the check/call line since vilian is passive and tends to bet 1/2 pot or less.

Turn represents an overpair and the size of the cr is good given the stacks here, most likely 12 outs if he calls. I have personally done not so many semi-bluff CR's on turn but if I think my FE is really big I will do it. what is your plan for river if you hit a) A b)a spade?

i think if you hit A you should bet like half of pot and fold to a raise on river.

The turn check-raise represents a lot of hands, depending on what Fnord is capable of raising preflop. He could've flopped a set or a straight, turned a set of jacks, or he could have an overpair. This is a good line to use when you've been raising a lot preflop and continuing on the flop, especially if you've been check-folding the turn.

You were both racing to a flush, but he hit his on the river while also holding top pair of jacks.

i dont think a strong player would push the river with a pair of jacks.

Originally Posted by gabe

i dont think a strong player would push the river with a pair of jacks.

He has a flush now