A bluff.

It's been a while since I've played no limit holdem, but I thought this was an interesting hand. I'm not sure if this is too big of a gamble.

My opponent seems to play preflop chicken holdem. He's reraised me a fair amount preflop and in one particular hand I raised to $3 UTG, he reraised to $10, I reraised to $35 and he instafolded. Other than that, I've been multitabling and haven't watched him very closely, although I have noticed that he's a multitabler.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP ($137.35)
Hero ($125.95)
SB ($71.85)
BB ($85.30)
UTG ($133)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K, Q.
2 folds, Hero raises to $3, 1 fold, BB raises to $9, Hero calls $6.

Flop: ($18.50) 5, J, 2 (2 players)
BB bets $18, Hero raises to $116.95

the only hand you're folding is AK.

i'd like it better if he had bet smaller

Originally Posted by |~|ypermegachi

the only hand you're folding is AK.

Any pair below J's, random ace high hands, a lot of other crap he decided to 3-bet with?

it can be a good play vs taggy 3bet/cbet types, but there i dunno since his stack size and the big cbet looks like he's more donkish and overplaying something.

do you know if he cbets every time, or if a PSB means something for him?

Originally Posted by dsaxton

Originally Posted by |~|ypermegachi

the only hand you're folding is AK.

Any pair below J's, random ace high hands, a lot of other crap he decided to 3-bet with?

do you at least have stats on the guy? against the average TAG, the PSB on the flop is rarely a bluff.

ur bluff dont really make sense-- what are u representing ? JJ set ? u dont push that KK,AA u 4 bet pre. AJ,QQ? too narrow to believe that.

If you think he's overaggro then calling flop and shoving most turns is way sicker and funner

Originally Posted by Genitruc

If you think he's overaggro then calling flop and shoving most turns is way sicker and funner

I suppose, but doesn't this give him a chance to improve as well as being a weaker play?

i think its pretty terrible. Unless he is a monkey his 3 bet range is really tight out of the big blind, so you fold out AK and maybe TT, hell a lot of ll players dont even 3 bet TT pre here.

trik is right

with overs, runner runner flush and str8 it s a great spot to float if you think he is often FOS on flop

If I thought this was the case I'd call intending to bet/shove over a turn bet when any T, K, Q or spade hit and sometimes bet a blank when checked to.

I should have realized that guy's stack size makes this a shitty spot for a float. If he had something like 120bb's the float would be lots more fun.

I think its pretty bad. Id say it was bad with AK when were pretty sure we have overs but with KQ we probably have even fewer outs some of the time. We are never going to be better than about 25%-30% equity when called, Were often going to be quite a bit less. That means we need him to fold over half the time (as an estimate) and I just dont think he missed that flop with over half his range. Even 2 overs will have a FD sometimes and call but at least he cant have AKs.

Originally Posted by Renton

i'd like it better if he had bet smaller

The big bet made me more inclined to bluff, since it put more money in the pot. I didn't really think he was likelier to be holding a real hand on account of his slightly larger than normal bet size.

Originally Posted by dsaxton

The big bet made me more inclined to bluff, since it put more money in the pot. I didn't really think he was likelier to be holding a real hand on account of his slightly larger than normal bet size.

bigger bets makes it easier to get it all in on the current and/or later streets.

Originally Posted by dsaxton

Originally Posted by Renton

i'd like it better if he had bet smaller

The big bet made me more inclined to bluff, since it put more money in the pot. I didn't really think he was likelier to be holding a real hand on account of his slightly larger than normal bet size.

I think it absolutely increases the chance of him having a real hand. Even if that isn't true, you have to at least admit that it polarizes his range, causing u to have terrible equity when called.

I'd be tempted to call with 99 here if I was opponent.