Which bluff got called?

These are all from the same aggressive hu session.

Three bluffs, what do you think about these? One got called, but which one?

NR 1:

Ongame Texas Hold'em $6-$12 NL (real money)

Seat 7: BB ($3,074.80 in chips)
Seat 10: HERO [ AD,KC ] ($961.00 in chips)
ANTES/BLINDS
HERO posts blind ($3), BB posts blind ($6).

PRE-FLOP
HERO bets $15, BB calls $12.

FLOP [board cards 8D,4D,JC ]
BB checks, HERO bets $45, BB calls $45.

TURN [board cards 8D,4D,JC,5S ]
BB checks, HERO bets $90, BB calls $90.

RIVER [board cards 8D,4D,JC,5S,QH ]
BB bets $200, HERO bets $550...

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NR 2:

Ongame Texas Hold'em $6-$12 NL (real money)

Seat 7: BUTTON ($2,885.80 in chips)
Seat 10: HERO [ 8H,KH ] ($826.00 in chips)
ANTES/BLINDS
BUTTON posts blind ($3), HERO posts blind ($6).

PRE-FLOP
BUTTON bets $17, HERO calls $14.

FLOP [board cards 2S,4S,7S ]
HERO bets $42, BUTTON calls $42.

TURN [board cards 2S,4S,7S,6S ]
HERO bets $99, BUTTON calls $99.

RIVER [board cards 2S,4S,7S,6S,9H ]
HERO bets $300...

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NR 3:

Ongame Texas Hold'em $6-$12 NL (real money)

Seat 7: BUTTON ($2,190.40 in chips)
Seat 9: HERO [ 5C,5H ] ($1513.00 in chips)
ANTES/BLINDS
BUTTON posts blind ($3), HERO posts blind ($6).

PRE-FLOP
BUTTON bets $17, HERO bets $66, BUTTON calls $52.

FLOP [board cards QS,TH,8D ]
HERO bets $150, BUTTON calls $150.

TURN [board cards QS,TH,8D,9H ]
HERO checks, BB bets $150, HERO bets $450...

2nd

1st - its likely has either 9 10 or JQ here and I think they would both call, or raise in 9 10's case

1st

3rd

1st seems like it would be called because the bet is so small relative to pot, but that's too obvious.

3rd, because how can he call 2 bets with no spade, then fold? A set?

1st

Originally Posted by zenbitz

1st seems like it would be called because the bet is so small relative to pot, but that's too obvious.

3rd, because how can he call 2 bets with no spade, then fold? A set?

In nr2 villain of course has a spade. But he knows that I know that he has a spade. So how good does your Queen high flush look when a guy who knows you have a flush is betting the pot into you on the river?

I know that he knows that I know that he has a spade. Would then be quite crazy to bluff here, right? WRONG! It's clearly a very good spot to rep the Ace of spades, because it sure doesn't look like he has it... I also bet the flop, which adds to the probability that i've got it.

Dont try this at low stakes though...

nice analysis on hand 2, however opp could also show up with a set here which he has to fold on the river i'd assume.

Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan

nice analysis on hand 2, however opp could also show up with a set here which he has to fold on the river i'd assume.

Well a set could work as a bluffcatcher I guess, but I would never call a pot sized bet with a set here, no matter how much I suspected a bluff.

Result: NR 3 got called. Villain turned two pair with Q9.

In NR 3 I was trying to check down my pocket fives on the turn, but when villain weak-bet, I thought I could steal it easily. I guess I got levelled myself here...