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Call off the rest of my stack with A-high?

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  1. #1

    Default Call off the rest of my stack with A-high?

    Converter doesn't work for Full Tilt

    Full Tilt Poker Game : $0.50/$1 - No Limit Hold'em

    Seat 2: TheXC ($100)
    Seat 3: HERO ($141.55)
    Seat 4: BigTon 88 ($43.30)
    Seat 5: Kid Cuban ($100.15)
    Seat 6: meanfish ($50)
    TheXC posts the small blind of $0.50
    HERO posts the big blind of $1
    The button is in seat #5
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to HERO [8c Ac]
    BigTon 88 folds
    Kid Cuban folds
    TheXC raises to $3
    meanfish is sitting out
    HERO calls $2
    *** FLOP *** [2c 9c 7d]
    TheXC bets $5
    HERO raises to $14
    TheXC calls $9
    *** TURN *** [2c 9c 7d] [5s]
    TheXC checks
    HERO bets $26
    TheXC raises to $83, and is all in
    HERO folds
    Uncalled bet of $57 returned to TheXC
    TheXC mucks
    TheXC wins the pot ($84)
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot $86 | Rake $2
    Board: [2c 9c 7d 5s]
    Seat 2: TheXC (small blind) collected ($84), mucked
    Seat 3: HERO (big blind) folded on the Turn
    Seat 4: BigTon 88 didn't bet (folded)
    Seat 5: Kid Cuban (button) didn't bet (folded)
    Seat 6: meanfish is sitting out

    I folded pretty quickly but I realised afterwards that I probably have enough equity to make the call unless his range is very narrow. Villain is quite tight preflop and seems reasonably aggressive. No history between us this session. Calling here and sucking out will also do wonders for my image.

    I am getting about 2.5:1 from the pot so I need about 28.5% equity, I assigned villain a range of all overpairs, sets and 97 (other two pairs are too unlikely in my opinion).

    Board: 2c 9c 7d 5s
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 28.939% 28.94% 00.00% 573 0.00 { Ac8c }
    Hand 1: 71.061% 71.06% 00.00% 1407 0.00 { 99+, 77, 55, 97s, 97o }

    So its an almost breakeven call with that range, what range would you put villain on?

    Comments on my play in the rest of the hand is welcome. Check behind on the turn against a very tight player who called a flop raise?
  2. #2
    I dont think thats a bad range and you could maybe put him on a bluff a small percentage of the time making it a call, it will be very high variance though. Also, I dont blame you for folding simply because putting somebody on a range and then estimating an ev calc mentally against that range, etc. isnt something that everybody is able to do, I know I cant.

    Given that, I dont really like how you played the hand. Flop is good but I probably make it a PSR and on the turn I check behind simply because of a hand like this, I do not want to get pushed off my draw when I have a decent amount of outs and a good chance at getting paid if I hit.
  3. #3
    This is such a ridiculously common set line I think the fold is good.
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  4. #4
    I fold b/c I think you can take JJ/TT and maybe QQ out of his range. I probably check behind turn... if he's tight and didn't fold to your flop raise, he's got something he'll have a lot of trouble laying down.

    Here's a converter that works with Full Tilt: http://www.neildewhurst.com/hand-converter

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