Villain is 30/12 and holds QQ+ here 99% of the time.

My image is that I'm a nit, who hasn't been getting paid with sets the past 3 weeks when taking similar lines against similar players


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

BB ($100)
UTG ($202.70)
MP ($191.55)
Button ($110.80)
Hero ($101.40)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 9, 9.
UTG raises to $4, MP calls $4, Button calls $4, Hero calls $3.50, 1 fold.

Flop: ($17) 7, 8, 7 (4 players)
Hero bets $11, UTG raises to $22, MP folds, Button folds, Hero raises to $44, UTG thinks, then calls $22.

Turn: ($105) 2 (2 players)
Hero pushes $52

Does villain fold his overpair to a guy like me getting 3-1 on a turn call enough that i can make this bluff profitably? The more I think about it the more I think about it he calls enough here; and I was hoping he'd just fold to the flop reraise.