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 Originally Posted by gabe
Originally Posted by aislephive
I think a turn lead is better because he can use the diamond on the turn to try and blow you out of the pot. Given that you have reraised him quite a bit folding shouldn't really even be crossing your mind here.
if i lead turn, hes folding everything that i beat.
the fact that ive reraised him obv should cross my mind because its unlikely for him to put me on such a big hand
He isn't folding a set here, and leading the turn can easily induce a bluff vs a tricky opponent. He knows he has fold equity with stacks this deep and he knows you can't call a raise with AK if you lead the turn, so betting is good imo. If you're checking the turn it's only to induce a bluff, I wouldn't really ever consider folding if you had been reraising him a lot preflop. You reraised him preflop for this exact reason, to set him up in a big pot. Now you reraise him and on the turn you don't think he is calling with any worse hands than top set and isn't capable of making a move?
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