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 Originally Posted by gabe
figure out the % he reraises light and the % he shoves over your 4 bet and its easy to figure out whats the bes tplay
The first raisers range is something like:
AA,KK,QQ,JJ,1010,99,88,77,66,55,44,33,22 13x6=78 -6 combos, as i have 87s
ak,aq,aj,a10,,kq,kj,qj 7x12=84
aks,aqs,ajs,a10s,kqs, kjs,kts,qjs 8x4=32
188
12 of kk/aa
188/12=15.66
6.38%
so he shoves everytime he has aa/kk, which is 6.38% of the time he raises.
co's 3betting range I put together as:
AA, KK, QQ, JJ, 1010 = 30
Aks, aqs, = 8
ako, aqo, = 24
87s, 67s, = 7
69/12
17%
so he shoves everytime he has aa/kk, which is 17% of the time he 3bets.
6.28% of 17%=15.98
16+6.38=22.98%
this is the % of the time either one shoves.
so...
77.02% of the time I win 17.5, and 22.98% of the time I lose 32?
.7702(17.5)-.2298(32)=
13.47-7.35=$6.12
ok?
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