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Hand versus Chardrian
Here's an old hand versus chardrian that I'm really not sure whether i should call or not, and still after analyzing it am not sure. Char is 22/18, very aggressive, and makes big bluffs. Is he capable of bluffing in this situation? Yes. Is he doing it a lot? A decent amount.
The big problem I have with this hand is Char's range is pretty balanced here I think. I'm not sure he's going to play this any differently without a set rather than with a set/two pair. Which really puts me in a crappy spot. Reasons I feel inclined to call.
1. My hand is face up. There's a decent chance that feeling I have an overpair here Char would bet less but idk. Pushing probably has more value since i may have to felt a bluff here, but idk that he's thinking that.
2. He didn't threebet pre. I raised on the BU and I know there are a lot of people who like to threebet there PP's pre, but im really not sure if char is one of those. I'm pretty sure he'd threebet 9's here. So his range is extrememly tight. 55,33, 53. all draws besides 42 im beating.
3. His turn bet is fishy. Normally on a board this drawy im betting more with a set, but he didn't. which kind of looks like he's repping a set rather than actually having one. Although since my hands face up this point is kind of moot because he'd want to get a turn call.
The tells leaning towards calling obviously aren't very strong. Thoughts? Alternate lines? Maybe push turn? Although we fold pure bluffs there.
POKERSTARS GAME #9226271347: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($1/$2) - 2007/04/03 - 01:46:17 (ET)
Table 'Tarka' 6-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: VarlosZ ($201.25 in chips)
Seat 2: TFlash ($199 in chips)
Seat 3: redgrape ($285.90 in chips)
Seat 4: fv7682 ($203.60 in chips)
Seat 5: chardrian ($234.30 in chips)
Seat 6: JonnyCosMo ($200 in chips)
fv7682: posts small blind $1
chardrian: posts big blind $2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to redgrape [As Ah]
JonnyCosMo: folds
VarlosZ: folds
TFlash: folds
redgrape: raises $4 to $6
fv7682: folds
chardrian: calls $4
*** FLOP *** [9h 5s 3c]
fv7682 leaves the table
chardrian: checks
redgrape: bets $10
chardrian: raises $23 to $33
redgrape: calls $23
*** TURN *** [9h 5s 3c] [6d]
holdemty1 joins the table at seat #4
chardrian: bets $45
redgrape: calls $45
*** RIVER *** [9h 5s 3c 6d] [Qc]
chardrian: bets $150.30 and is all-in
redgrape said, "alright if this is a bluff nice hand i think"
redgrape: ?????
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