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 Originally Posted by Genitruc
I think raising this river would be suicidal unless villain is very capable of laying down a hand.
Well, it's certainly high variance. And it would help if he can lay down TPNK to a big bet (assuming he does have an Ace)
He has the Ad here like over 50% of the time imo.
If you raise, wtf can he put you on? A7?
I just think that river bet is wierd. He must be afraid of SOMETHING to block bet like leaving 1/2 his stack behind. Maybe he thinks we're slowplaying set or straight.
Maybe you're right - I don't think he has an A because I think he would bet more on the river. But whatever he has, I think it beats J7 > pot odds (I guess this like 80% of the time)... so raise or fold.
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