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[quote="Ash256"]Hybrid, I looked at your post history and had you down as a 2+2 troll - apologies & ty for explanation & thought process.
I figured OP was a micro player because:-
a) He mentioned non-specific equities vs. particular hands rather than a stoved global equity
b) He posted in BBs and not actual $ values
Based on these assumptions, I didn't feel exploitability vs. good players really mattered much - though I certainly am exploitable vs. someone good.
Here's an in-depth response to each hand (and thanks to your post my opinion may have changed lol):-
Results from http:\\www.HoldEmRanger.com
575,334,144 evaluations, 336 hole card combos
Pre-flop
Wins Ties Equity Fold
19.26% 20.33% 39.59% - ( AK )
40.08% 20.33% 60.41% 74.07% ( AA,KK,QQ,AK,/AT-AQ,88-JJ )
This is assuming a medium-wide 4bet range and that he folds everything past the /. - My mind is screwed today and I can't remember how to factor FE but by the looks of it shoving vs. a wide 4bet range is correct.
BUT
If he has a shorter 4bet range and calls every time:-
Results from http:\\www.HoldEmRanger.com
739,715,328 evaluations, 432 hole card combos
Pre-flop
Wins Ties Equity
24.68% 15.86% 40.54% ( AK )
43.60% 15.86% 59.46% ( AA,KK,QQ,AK,JJ )
- no goot
....
you can't just PS stove it because there is dead money in the pot around 50$, to get a fold/flatcall/shove statement you would need to find out your FE and if you have no FE use immediate POT ODDS... IF there is 200$ pot and i have 50$ left to shove... and i have 30% is that a fold??? too lazy to show u pot odds but i will help u learn FE.
Example...
Button ($81.10)
SB ($89.40)
Hero ($100)
UTG ($66.50)
UTG+1 ($127.85)
MP1 ($111.30)
MP2 ($104)
MP3 ($96.15)
CO ($92.40)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 2s, Ah.
5 folds, CO calls $1, Button calls $1, SB completes, Hero checks.
Flop: ($4) Jh, 2h, 4h (4 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks, Button bets $5, SB folds, Hero raises to $15, CO folds, Button raises to $42, hero ?????
The math of to shove or fold.
When villian folds we win 59$
When he calls we lose (I used the equity of a made flush for villian.)
69% of the time 69$ vs a made flush = 47.81$ of EV (you can use his range here vs ours)
31% of the time we win 182$ = -56.42 of ev
Total ev of -8.61$
So by pushing expressed as a equation...
pushing EV = 59$*x + (-8.61$)*(1-x) = 0
x = % fold equity needed to make this play.
So we solve for X
59x + 8.61x - 8.61 = 0
67.61x = 8.61
X = .11
This means we need a fold 11% of the time... so if you like u can redo your assumptions after using this equation related to this hand... this equation factors in equity vs range, FE and pot odds. your post had only equity vs range.
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