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 Originally Posted by noble007
Just throwing this hypothesis out there because I like to make bad assumptions
Marshall28 said initially
"I think by the river you are pretty much never ahead, he is too solid to make a bluff here especially w/ the way the board turned out it looks too good for 8Tcc and KTcc."
But then recently did what seems like a 180
"on the same note, because he plays really good, he definitely doesn't have to have the nuts. hero's hand is so face up that it makes it pretty obvious he can't take the heat on the river ... this is why hero has to raise at some point."
A few posts later he revealed he'd spoken to redargoe & possibly learned the outcome of the hand.
I would suggest the he spoke to regargoe before the second post hence the 180 & I would be fairly confident AA was good here.
bad assumption, probably. who cares, true.
i think my initial analysis was a little poor. by saying hes too solid and your hand is never good here, i guess i really meant that his range is polarized so that he's too solid to be valuing worse. in which case it's either a pure bluff or the nuts.
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