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I don't remember when I last saw a hand where we held the nuts IP and still kindof hated life. 23 bad turn cards out of 47 (probably only 21/47 actually since villain is very likely to hold two of them).
After really thinking about this I still prefer a small 3bet, partly because we hate half the deck, but also because he took a line that will make him assume that we will perceive his range as polarized. He will have a pretty hard time folding his value range because he can't be sure exactly what we think of his line. I don't hate a small 3bet bluff with some weakish draw here either.
It's only about 23% likely that we will still hold the nuts on the river (and need to use both cards for it). We can put money in now with a huge equity advantage and I don't think we can just throw that away because we want to widen our flatting range, even though it's a decent argument. We can flat this 10% and 3bet 90% and still have the nuts in our flatting range.
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