J9s Multiway.

CO is a 14/12 nit and BU, a laggy reg running 28/22. In a hand just a few minutes earlier he'd called down a flop c/r and turn bet from me pretty lightly so may think I'm a bit full of shit.

On this flop though I think his range has a ton of better fds and obv some sets that are all crushing me. He may also do this with like KQ or whatever. I donked expecting to win the pot a ton since BU has a wide range that can't contiunue too often here and CO is a nit who will just fold a bunch hands weaker than top pair.

So unless I think BU is fucking with me lot here, I kind of have to fold right? Since any range of draws and value hands has me crushed.

Thoughts?

$0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG HEF-OO 444 ($105.40)
CO mattnegreanu ($100)
BTN aurora446 ($128.35)
SB Hero ($120.30)
BB manu1337 ($106)

Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 5 players) Hero is SB
1 fold, mattnegreanu raises to $3, aurora446 calls $3, Hero calls $2.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($10, 3 players)
Hero bets $6, mattnegreanu folds, aurora446 raises to $20, Hero folds

Hi. How many hands do you have on mattnegreanu? From what I remember he was somewhat loose aggressive when I played with him.

I like the lead but I might check/decide also. Even if he's TAG I think he's cbetting this board every time and you benefit from being able to see how the BU reacts. C/r is tough because you rep 22 and 77, as I have a feeling you're squeezing AK and KK every time there, and I don't think you're check/raising KQ for value. Check/calling might seem transparent but I like that line here too.

As played I think folding is best.

Originally Posted by leftygrove

Hi. How many hands do you have on mattnegreanu? From what I remember he was somewhat loose aggressive when I played with him.

I like the lead but I might check/decide also. Even if he's TAG I think he's cbetting this board every time and you benefit from being able to see how the BU reacts. C/r is tough because you rep 22 and 77, as I have a feeling you're squeezing AK and KK every time there, and I don't think you're check/raising KQ for value. Check/calling might seem transparent but I like that line here too.

As played I think folding is best.

Got 112 hands on him and he's 14/12 23% ATS. It's possible he's been card dead i guess in my sample. You aren't maybe thinking of MattTheMaster?

I don't hate the lead, but I would snap fold now.

Originally Posted by griffey24

I don't hate the lead, but I would snap fold now.

i don't get the lead. i would think that BOTH players are gonna have a wide b/f'ing range, including some hands that are raising us here.

<CarrotManz> the guy seemed real niotty on my hud
<CarrotManz> I wasnt even sure he was c betting his air all the time
<CarrotManz> so thought lead wins

i guess that suffices. i just generally presume that this board is getting cbet a lot against regs even if it's multiway

think abt ur flop line more