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JJ 150 deep vs reg.
Villain is a reg running 19/18/6.5(3 bet) over 300 hands. This session he's 3 bet my utg open twice to which I've folded bith times, no real relevant history.
I think flatting pre is good, 4 bet getting it in without hisotry this deep seems meh to me. We're prolly doing well vs his range.
On the flop, his bet is fairly scary, raising obv jus gets it invs a range of QQ+ and good draws, and is therefore terrible. Folding seems a little weak, but then he might not even have like 99 TT ever here so when he sizes his c bet this big can I just fold the flop?
On the turn, I see no reason to bet sinces he's pretty much going to be c/f or c/jamming a lot of the time. If I want to get value vs TT (if he has it) or some 8x I can bet the river since I don't get 2 more streets anyways imo.
River sizing is pretty scary and I think my range is pretty damn strong looking when I call the flop, I don't think he'd expect me to fold TT-JJ here and it's kind of a spot I feel a lot of the less insane regs chose not to bluff in without more of a read. I elect to fold.
Thoughts?
No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
SB ($73.60)
BB ($209.05)
UTG ($103.65)
MP ($100)
CO ($161.65)
Hero (Button) ($160.15)
Preflop: Hero is Button with J , J
3 folds, Hero bets $3, 1 fold, BB raises $11, Hero calls $9
Flop: ($24.50) 3 , 4 , 8 (2 players)
BB bets $21, Hero calls $21
Turn: ($66.50) 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks
River: ($66.50) Q (2 players)
BB bets $51, Hero folds
Total pot: $66.50
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