|
Okay, there are essentially four ways that I could have played this hand.....below is my commentary on how I see things, in no particular order.
1. Fold to his min-raise. I don't think anyone folds an over-pair to a min-check-raise in this situation, but with a better read it's not totally out of line here. The min-check-raise, to me, sometimes screams, "Holy shit, I have a monster here and I'm thinking this is possibly the best way to get the most money into the pot right now, hoping that my opponent is on an overpair." It's definitely not the way I would play a set or two-pair in this situation, but I've seen opponents take this line time and time again. This is by far the cheapest route possible but it is so freaking weak it almost shouldn't be mentioned.
2. I could flat call his min-check-raise. This is a cheap option too, but I don't think it gives me any information about my opponents hand. By calling, if he pots it on the turn I have another difficult decision to make, and will most likely be folding unless he underbets the pot big-time. Or, if he checks, do I bet out again on a non-scare card and risk getting check-raised again? Do I check and let him see a free river, when he may have been drawing all-along? Again, this is a cheap option on the flop...but if you look further down the road, actually how cheap/smart is this option?
3. I could play the hand the exact way that I did. His min-check-raise, to me, says, "I got a piece of that flop. It could be a big piece or a small piece, I'm not telling yet." My re-raise tells him, essentially, "You better have a big fucking piece of that because I still have an over-pair." I've seen many people fold to this bet in the past (and, btw, it was not a min-raise of his check-raise, it was a raise just large enough to find out the information I needed without totally committing myself to going the distance). My betting pattern clearly defined my hand, which is okay to do sometimes when you're finding out information (Fnord, you disagree with this, please tell me why). If he pushes over the top he's telling me, "I don't give a shit what you have, my hand is better," and I fold. If he folds, I win the pot right there. In the long run I'm not sure, at least now, if this is a +EV raise in this position.
4. I do everything the same way but *call* his all-in. I don't see how this is right with no reads, because he's essentially told me that he doesn't respect an over-pair. So this is by far the worst option.
Looking at these four options, the only one that really stands out as a better play in this situation is flat calling his min-check-raise. If I do that I can reevaluate on the turn. I most likely fold to any large bet, *but* I leave the possibility open that he wants to check it down. This one saves more money in the long-run, I'd think......but it gives me absolutely no information about his hand. If he bets big again, then what, "Take his word for it, he's got a monster?" If that's the case, then why am I even calling his check-min-raise in the first place?
Which leads me to an "ah-ha" moment.....
5. I flat call his check-min-raise.....and a diamond hits on the turn. If he's got a set/two-pair, he probably slows way-the-frick-down....or maybe he bets it but *I* come over the top, repping the flush, and I can win the pot. Hmm....I don't know how +EV that move is either.
Frick it, I'm stuck....I think either way here my JJ is no good. It just cost me a lot of money to find that out.
Any thoughts on the above?
|