A-K 100NL ~200BB's Interesting semibluff?

Villain is 25/10/2.5. No notes but he hasn't done anything out of the ordinary at the table. I have played pretty tight while villain has been at the table; this is my first 4bet at this table.

Hero: ($187.10 in chips)
Player 1: ($104.50 in chips)
Villain: ($186.50 in chips)
ColdCalling Donk: ($100 in chips)

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero: [Ah Kc]
Player 1: raises $3 to $4
Villain: raises $8 to $12
Coldcalling Donk: calls $12
1 fold
Hero: raises $24 to $36
Player 1: folds
Villain: calls $24
Coldcalling Donk: folds
*** FLOP *** [Qd 3d Jc]
Hero: checks
Villain: bets $50
Hero: raises $101.10 to $151.10 and is all-in

You only get him of AK, so I think it's bad.

I'm not really a big fan of it because it looks like this board really hit villain's range hard.

about 150 to win 140, maybe 15% equity when called?

EV = (1-.15)(-150)+(.15)(240) = -$60 when called, +$140 when he folds. Given preflop action, it doesn't make much sense for him to bet if he's not calling a shove, who knows though.

It all boils down to how much fold equity you think you have.

I agree with Lukie. This is a bad "semibluff". Villain isn't folding JJ or QQ, and will be hard pressed to fold AA or KK, though if solid enough will do so sometimes.

The biggest problem with this, is that you're only semibluffing 3 outs a lot, and sometimes 6.

Why in the world would you overplay AK against a villain who hasn't been out of line? Bad Juju.

terrible juju

I would only like this if you would hold AdKd.