KQ vs Lukkake.

Button is Lukie aka Lukieplaya aka Lukkake aka Fish. We have both been playing a similar TAg game, staying out of each others way for the most part. Flop check is to mix it up plus a little pot control, not standard for me, but I'll do it once in a while. Turn call is standard I think given flop check. Now I hit my gin card on the river. Who likes betting? Who likes checking? If you bet, how much?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

saw flop|saw showdown

SB ($959.05)
BB ($467.10)
Hero ($791.90)
MP ($408)
Button ($497)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K, Q.
Hero raises to $16, 1 fold, Button calls $16, 2 folds.

Flop: ($38) K, 9, J (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks.

Turn: ($38) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $24, Button raises to $95, Hero calls $71.

River: ($228) T (2 players)
Hero checks... ($386 eff. stacks)

Bet the river, like $100, maybe $150. He checks behind here a lot unless you think he's FoS and will fire again.

only hand lukie, if hes playing good, can have is 33 or bluff. i think a check/raise is good here alot because he wont pay you off with 333 much (hes a nit) and he might bluff a badly played flush draw.

c/r seems very sexy here. villain will be hard-pressed to call a decent hand w anything you beat, maybe a crying call from a set but I don't see anything else calling a decent bet.

bdawg was just killing me tonight. By the way, I like the way you played the hand in the OP on every street, knowledge of the hole cards and river action aside.

lalalalala

POKERSTARS GAME #6697871532: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($2/$4) - 2006/10/20 - 00:10:37 (ET)
Table 'Aemilia' 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: rllaneza ($290.40 in chips)
Seat 2: esaide ($94.90 in chips)
Seat 3: atac03 ($404.20 in chips)
Seat 4: bdawg56kg ($962.40 in chips)
Seat 5: Kung ($342 in chips)
Seat 6: Lukieplaya ($501.60 in chips)
rllaneza: posts small blind $2
esaide: posts big blind $4
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Lukieplaya [Jc As]
atac03: folds
bdawg56kg: raises $12 to $16
Kung: folds
Lukieplaya: raises $38 to $54
rllaneza: folds
esaide: folds
bdawg56kg: calls $38
*** FLOP *** [5d 3h 6h]
bdawg56kg: checks
Lukieplaya: bets $111
bdawg56kg: raises $797.40 to $908.40 and is all-in
Lukieplaya: folds
bdawg56kg collected $333 from pot
bdawg56kg: doesn't show hand
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $336 | Rake $3
Board [5d 3h 6h]
Seat 1: rllaneza (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 2: esaide (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: atac03 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: bdawg56kg collected ($333)
Seat 5: Kung folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Lukieplaya (button) folded on the Flop

Originally Posted by Fnord

Bet the river, like $100, maybe $150. He checks behind here a lot unless you think he's FoS and will fire again.

Fnord, what do you put Lukie on? Also, how often do you think he has a hand that actually will pay off a value-bet here?

My thought process in checking was that he probably doesn't pay me off with a hand like 2-pair (maybe a set but idk), but I felt certain that IF he had a busted draw or total air, he would bet this river close to 100% of the time, because my turn + river line looks like a weak hand trying to get to showdown. Plus his flop check and turn raise does make a bluff more likely IMO, although I do know he is capable of checking behind a big hand on the flop (any good player should be).