Quote Originally Posted by mcatdog
Quote Originally Posted by Marshall28
Against a competent opponent I think you are beat here pretty often. I'd expect to see a set that was trying to induce a raise from you on the turn that now is just betting for value on the river. If he's thinking it all, he can really only expect you to fold like AQ/QJ here, and if he wanted you to fold those, he would have bet bigger on the turn.
I agree somewhat but I've seen people size their bets like this with draws betting small on the turn and then huge when they miss. I've also seen people get scared of this type of turn card with AA/AK but when you check-call and don't raise they decide they're good and bomb the river. I'd sigh and call.

what draws can he have, or were you just making that comment in general? I see this bet sizing but in totally different spots. I read his sizing the opposite way