Mix-up gone wrong(?)

200NL 5-max

I have $325, villain covers. I'm on the button. The CO isa little loose player, but not much more out of line than that. 34/17 so he raises quite a bit. I decide to mix things up a bit, but what to do on the flop?


HERO has :Td:

PREFLOP
CO raises to $6, HERO raises to $20, CO calls

($43 in pot)

FLOP
CO checks, HERO bets $30, CO raises to $90, HERO ??? (has $275 left and he covers)

I assume we CAN get all-in on most turns (I obv fold any non-diamond), so is this just a mathematical question? I felt kinda fishy and I suck at quick calculations. If someone could do a detalied math analysis I would be glad. I am embarrasingly horrible at those things (he could have a set or overpairs, discount outs etc etc).

Maybe I shouldn'r have got into that situation either so all comments are welcome.

I call here. I think raising here is bad, because unless opp is a donk I dont think you have much folding equity given the preflop and flop action.

Me personally, I like playing LAG but I like being the original agressor. He raises frequently but calling a reraise is not a play a player does without a decent hand like a big ace or pp. Here smells signs of pp. I would assume JJ, or QQ. KK or AA would've probably repopped and the only set I could really put him on is 88's. Because you have a 9 and 10, its less likely he has a pair of those. I think this is almost a fold. I don't think you have 15 outs in this situation and at worst, you could be up against a higher flush draw or an overpair in which you only have 9 outs instead of 15 and you're not getting the right odds to chase.

Getting almost 1:3 on the flop call I call here with the flushdraw

Call

you have to call $60 into what will be a $223 pot, or 27%. Odds to make your flush on the turn is 20%. Effective stacks left $215 for implied odds which results in a call..

i called, but then i thought about:

higher flushdraws
sets -> full houses
high pair with a diamond in it
hands not paying me off when i hit
etc

i have a little trouble figuring out my implied odds i guess, discounting for the above reasons.

As an aside, does anyone ever check any flop behind here?

Originally Posted by arkana

Call

I would also call this. BTW, nice avatar!!! *giggle*

Fnord against a fish i don't think checking behind is bad

against thinker I don't think getting paid off is very likely if we turn the flush