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Monster draw, normally this is easy (ARRIN!) but we are deep
Opp is unknown besides that his datamined stats are 44/18/2.2 over 50 hands. When he 3bet me on the flop, my first thought was allin, which is pretty standard 100BB deep, but then I figured that we are pretty deep, and that he'll almost never do this without twopair or better (or so I guess). But if I just call I will have a hard time getting paid on the turn or river, unless its one of the 3 nonclub jacks I hit.
So, whats the optimal way to play this hand? Is allin the best anyway because even though I'm only slightly ahead of twopair on the flop and behind sets theres enough dead money in the pot to justify an allin?
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
UTG ($223.95)
MP ($96)
Hero ($305.80)
SB ($207.35)
BB ($96)
Preflop: Hero is Button with 9 , T . SB posts a blind of $0.50.
UTG calls $1, 1 fold, Hero raises to $5, 2 folds, UTG calls $4.
Flop: ($11.50) 5 , 7 , 8 (2 players)
UTG bets $8, Hero raises to $24, UTG raises to $50, Hero calls $305.80 (All-In), UTG calls $223.95 (All-In).
Turn: ($615.25) 4 (2 players, 2 all-in)
River: ($615.25) 7 (2 players, 2 all-in)
Final Pot: $615.25
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