my destacking lament

- jailhousejoe sitting in seat 1 with $19.00 [Dealer]
- markodegr8 sitting in seat 2 with $2.70
- crazycooky sitting in seat 3 with $19.70
- Trev80 sitting in seat 4 with $45.54
- flezi123 sitting in seat 5 with $13.14
- MajinGG sitting in seat 6 with $31.00

markodegr8 posted the small blind - $0.10
crazycooky posted the big blind - $0.20
** Dealing card to jailhousejoe: Queen of Clubs, King of Clubs
Trev80 folded
flezi123 folded
MajinGG folded
jailhousejoe raised - $0.60
markodegr8 folded
crazycooky called - $0.60

** Dealing the flop: 10 of Clubs, Queen of Hearts, 9 of Clubs
crazycooky checked
jailhousejoe bet - $1.00
crazycooky raised - $3.00
jailhousejoe raised - $10.00
crazycooky went all-in - $16.30
jailhousejoe went all-in - $8.40
crazycooky shows: Jack of Clubs, 8 of Spades

** Dealing the turn: Ace of Diamonds

** Dealing the river: 7 of Hearts
crazycooky wins $37.80 from the main pot

OPPs VPIP is over 80%...my question is: is there any getting away from this hand? Does anyone hate my reraise? If Id have just called the check-raise on the flop could i ever have worked out his flopped straight and folded, or got value from hitting my draw? Im beginning to doubt my thinking but i was worried if he had the jack and a pair I wanted to win it there, so I bet heavily and pot-committed myself. Was also wondering what you FTR gurus would have done with K/Q o/s?... perhaps just call the check-raise, call the guy down and fold to any scare cards?

You definitely have a huge hand on that flop. Your two hands as is are 45.6% vs 54.4% to win, with his having the slight advantage. If he had the bigger end of the straight KsJc for example, then he is a 59.7% favorite.

Other than that, he could have a twopair of some sort. If he now only has a 47.8% chance of winning the hand.

If he had bottom set with pocket nines, he is now a 61.3% favorite.

If he is also drawing with AcJc, his draw is a 55.7% favorite.

These odds are all according to the cardplayer odds calculator.

Its all looking like a coinflip. The flop is pretty coordinated and with him putting in a 3rd bet, he's probably got the nuts or close to it. The thing is, you probably have a big enough pot by now that entering a coinflip is +ev.

What does everyone else think?

Huge?

Ok, maybe not huge, but its definitely large.

on a slightly different board it'd be huge.

I would say this qualifies as a huge hand. At that limit, against an opponent seeing 80% of flops, I would try to get as much money in on that flop every time, automatically. Once he raised you to 3 the reraise is good because there's a good chance you have the best hand here (JQ or JT are likely), and even if you're behind like Smackin said you're liable to be about even money.

Thanks..u both always give good advice on this forum so its nice to know ur not losing the plot by chasing bad draws when ur running bad - just lost 3 buy-ins I felt it was good to go with it - if im going to raise with KQs then this is the kind of flop I would hope to hit. Anyway, rebought and tho it aint goot to target opps I got a third of it back just before he left the table with this pretty standard rope-em-dope em play...even got a nice bet out him on the end. cheers smackin and twosevenoff.

- jailhousejoe sitting in seat 1 with $29.50
- pjfabbri sitting in seat 2 with $4.80
- crazycooky sitting in seat 3 with $29.70
- LeifarneK sitting in seat 4 with $19.95 [Dealer]
- BigBear303 sitting in seat 5 with $14.01
- MajinGG sitting in seat 6 with $22.55

BigBear303 posted the small blind - $0.10
MajinGG posted the big blind - $0.20
pjfabbri posted to play - $0.20
** Dealing card to jailhousejoe: King of Hearts, Queen of Clubs
jailhousejoe raised - $0.60
pjfabbri folded
crazycooky called - $0.60
LeifarneK folded
BigBear303 called - $0.60
MajinGG folded

** Dealing the flop: Queen of Spades, 8 of Diamonds, 2 of Diamonds
BigBear303 checked
jailhousejoe bet - $1.40
crazycooky called - $1.40
BigBear303 folded

** Dealing the turn: 10 of Diamonds
jailhousejoe bet - $2.20
crazycooky called - $2.20

** Dealing the river: 4 of Spades
jailhousejoe checked
crazycooky bet - $2.20
jailhousejoe called - $2.20
crazycooky shows: 9 of Diamonds, 8 of Spades
jailhousejoe shows: King of Hearts, Queen of Clubs
jailhousejoe wins $13.50 from the main pot

80% of flops makes it a no brainer push imo.