gabe are you sure that the aggressive games you play aren't clouding your judgement a tad here?

I think raising the flop with a set is hardly the norm. But more importantly, don' t you think a lot of draws and such are going to take a free card when checked to on the turn? This is another reason why'd I'd probably just lead it. Remember, we have no read that this player is aggressive enough to even bet a draw or a weak pair, and considering he limped in MP in a shorthanded game, he probably isn't aggressive at all.