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OK if we 3bet, this is our equity vs his 4-bet shoving range:
Board: 3s 4c 9s
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.572% 43.57% 00.00% 28470 0.00 { As8s }
Hand 1: 56.428% 56.43% 00.00% 36870 0.00 { QQ-99, 44-33, KsQs, KsJs, QsJs, JsTs, J9s, T9s, 7s6s, 6s5s, 43s, J9o, T9o, 43o }
We're almost flipping. In combination with the dead money, and the fact that its BvB and he's definitely raising with air/nonsense (that we might have to give the pot up to later, if we play this hand passively), and the potential of getting him to fold better (some people will raise 3x,4x,55/66 type hands here for protection but fold to 3bet) I think 3betting is still +EV.
The question is... is flatting BETTER than 3betting.....
I just feel like if villain is bluffing with any reasonable frequency (which on this board I think he is, since he's repping not much), that he will take this pot away from us later with a worse hand all the times we don't hit.
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