NL 25 6-max, AJs: line check

Opp was rated 41/20/1.83 by PT over 160 hands. I normally dump AJs to a preflop raise, but this guy was raising 20% of his hands, so I thought that my AJs very well could be good, and I had position.

Hows my line on the flop, turn and river?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

UTG ($30.29)
MP ($19.75)
CO ($34.57)
Hero ($25.70)
SB ($36.08)
BB ($26.05)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, J. SB posts a blind of $0.10.
UTG raises to $1, 2 folds, Hero calls $1, 2 folds.

Flop: ($2.35) 4, K, T (2 players)
UTG bets $2, Hero raises to $6, UTG raises to $10, Hero calls $4.

Turn: ($22.35) 9 (2 players)
UTG bets $7, Hero calls $7.

River: ($36.35) J (2 players)
UTG bets $10, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $46.35

Flop is pretty good...

Wow, that's a super weak turn bet. I could see calling bullshit and shoving, but it's hard to argue with 4:1 odds with no less than 13 outs.

River is weak, too.... 4.6:1 with 2nd pair. It's a pretty scary board though. He's either got a set, QQ, Q9, QX suited and is trying to get a raise, or has AT and hopes you'll fold.

AA I suppose is possible... but very strangly played turn.

I think you can call the river if villian has shown significant aggression with weak hands on drawing boards. If you plan on sticking around, it's almost worth a call for the sheer information.

I would have reraised preflop to take control of the hand, since you also have position, especially if you think villian is loose.

I like it. The J just wasn't what you were looking for. Don't pay off KT.

Thats an odd hand espeially turn as above.
You missed, fold the river.
I agree with the reraise preflop. You can take control of the pot here.

Originally Posted by zenbitz

Flop is pretty good...

Wow, that's a super weak turn bet. I could see calling bullshit and shoving, but it's hard to argue with 4:1 odds with no less than 13 outs.

River is weak, too.... 4.6:1 with 2nd pair. It's a pretty scary board though. He's either got a set, QQ, Q9, QX suited and is trying to get a raise, or has AT and hopes you'll fold.

He showed a lot of strength on the flop by leading out OOP and then not only calling raise but reraising (albeit w/ a min bet). Then the turn comes and he almost limps in w/ $7 into $23? I would also be inclined to shove, however that 9 is tough because if he was trying to reraise u w/ openended straight then you're likely toast. Did you notice how he played sets? Would he lead out OOP like that because of the flush draw or would he take his chances and check to you to see if you'd bet first, then reraise?

I would just shove on the flop.

Originally Posted by zenbitz

Wow, that's a super weak turn bet.

I think you're letting your understanding of the game bias your interpretation of your opponents' play. This could very well be a big pair (TPTKish) making what he considers a reasonable lead.

re raise pre flop. Push after his re raise on the flop.