Thanks Rocky. I noticed from previous posts of yours that you advocate for at least 50 buyins, so I'll take that into consideration here that you think my buyin schedule isn't correct. But relatively speaking, isn't the HU rake structure slightly more favorable than the 6MAX one? Here is how I'm looking at it, please tell me what I'm doing wrong:

Let's compare a 6 handed SNG payout and a HU payout on a $100 SNG. Let's also assume that all players are equal skill, for the purpose of eliminating skill as a variable and to focus on rake effect on profitability:

For the $100 + $9 6 handed game:
-assumes a $420 payout on 1st, $180 on 2nd place

1/6th of the time I will Net +$311 by winning (420 - 109 =311 profit)
1/6th of the time I will Net +81 by getting 2nd place (180 - 109 = 81 profit)
2/3rds of the time I will lose $109

This means, given the rake ratio and assuming all skill levels are the same,
that I will lose $34/6 games.

For the $100 + $5 Heads Up SNGs:
-assumes the winner earns $200

1/2 the time I will net win +$95 (200 - 105 entry = $95 profit)
1/2 the time I will lose $105

to compare the same rate as 6 handed SNG, I have to assume 6 games (rate stays the same, but it has to be compared against the same quantity) so:

for 6 games, I will win 3, or Net $95x3 = +$285
for 6 games, I will lose 3, or Net $105 = -$315

This means, given the rake ratio and assuming all skill levels are the same,
that I will lose $30/6 games to rake.

This makes me believe that I will pay $4 less for 6 HU SNGs than I would pay for 6 6MAX SNGs, making HU SNG rake more profitable long term by being less costly to me. Can you deconstruct what I'm overlooking?