I felt durty playing these draws soooo passive. I usually CR or b/3bet the flop here with the intention getting AI, but I'm trying to figure out when I'm best to make a hand before putting money in? On my last trip to Vegas I learned I over estimate fold equity too much & was learning how to get paid after making the hand rather than taking the short side of med-big draws.
Both of these hands feel like the fold equity was minimal due to villains nittyness & likely range and I felt I could get paid off pretty well if I hit my draw. Both villains were super tight over small samples. I joined the games after them so no real history and my image is solid if not tight. I ran 25/20/1.5 with A2S at 33% at that table. The 1.5 AF is measured after all the calling these hands so I probably looked more aggro in their HUDs at the time. I've shown nothing out of line yet.


Villain is 15/10/inf over 20 hands. As a tight cold caller I felt his range was limited to PPs, AJ+ & discounted SCs, Axs here. IMO, his interest by the turn shows he probably hit AK+ or there is a smaller chance he is betting a draw for which I have a couple of blockers. He has not 3bet so I can include a discounted QQ+, AK.

No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($57.75)
MP ($117.75)
CO ($51.55)
Button ($51.85)
Hero (SB) ($54.20)
BB ($50.75)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 10, J
UTG raises $1.75, MP calls $1.75, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($5.75) 6, Q, A (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, MP bets $4, Hero calls $4, 1 fold

Turn: ($13.75) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $9, Hero calls $9

River: ($31.75) 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $22, Hero folds

Total pot: $31.75



Villain is 15/5/2 over 30 hands w/ A2S 15%. No other reads.

No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP ($62.25)
CO ($12.70)
Button ($52.85)
SB ($58.30)
Hero (BB) ($50)
UTG ($50.75)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A, 7
4 folds, SB calls $0.25, Hero raises $1, SB calls $1

Flop: ($3) 6, 8, K (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2.50, SB raises $5, Hero calls $2.50

Turn: ($13) 9 (2 players)
SB bets $10, Hero calls $10

River: ($33) J (2 players)
SB bets $10, Hero folds

Total pot: $33

Looking back @ hand 2, since he limp/called I probably had a lot more FE than I thought, but his flop/turn actions make me feel like he flopped a monster. But the river makes me think he missed a draw. But would a 15/5 bluff?