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reading a spot and being wrong.

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  1. #1
    will641's Avatar
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    Aug 2007
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    getting my swell on

    Default reading a spot and being wrong.

    okay so i have a question about what you think or how you respond when you feel like you analyzed a spot pretty well and make a call but still lose. i dont know how to phrase it so i'll just post a hand and explain my thought process:

    he is a pretty aggressive player, i haven't seen him do anything too crazy. he runs like 23/19/4, 3-bets 6.5%. i'm pretty confident that he almost never tries to c/r that board with 77, 99, JJ+ .i think im behind his c/c range on the flop which is why i decided to check back. maybe i should've just tried to 4-bet get it in preflop but oh well. it could be JQ+ but i'm not sure he will be squeezing with 2 weak broadway cards. he's not a monkey.

    basically my question is should i still feel good about the hand because i still think my assessment was good but still lost?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Hero (CO) ($357.45)
    Button ($257.70)
    SB ($201)
    BB ($252.50)
    UTG ($254.15)
    MP ($122.95)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with 10, 10
    2 folds, Hero raises to $6, Button calls $6, 1 fold, BB raises to $24, Hero calls $18, 1 fold

    Flop: ($55) 9, J, 7 (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero checks

    Turn: ($55) 7 (2 players)
    BB bets $32, Hero calls $32

    River: ($119) 4 (2 players)
    BB bets $78, Hero calls $78

    Total pot: $275
  2. #2
    I would play it the same, though I think a big factor in the river call is just the feel of the timing and sizing and stuff.

    I'd probably 4bet-get it in though preflop, more often than dealing with TT postflop without the initiative.
    Quote Originally Posted by Jay-Z
    I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
    I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
  3. #3
    bjsaust's Avatar
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    May 2007
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    Ballarat, Australia
    Yeah, I think so. I play this hand identically for what its worth (may fold to the 3-bet depending on his range but with his stats I'd call). I've been caught out a few times lately correctly reading villain as bluffing but his bluff still being better than my bluff catcher, so I'm trying to tighten my bluff catching range a bit, and thinking about when maybe I'm better off rebluffing rather than calling (and just plain folding more even if I think he's FOS).

    All in all though, I probably feel good that I made a solid read rather than bad that I got beat.
    Just dipping my toes back in.

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