Quote Originally Posted by Da GOAT
ISF- I missed how light you beleive opp will calldown originally so yea 3 barrelling is poor here.

Since opp is calling down light why not vb thinner and drop the gutshots (griffeys thought)

Im thinking if this isnt an option then I think when we check strong hands here it will protect us alot when we have medium hands in this spot. This can be a good thing when we have a very wide 3betting range. Im not sure if it is more profitable than betting anyway since opp will call down.
I don't think opp will call down light to threebarrels. But I think most of the time the line he is going to take with AA/KK/AK/KQ/TT/77 is call down. Maybe he fourbets AK pre but given most peoples calling range pre I think thats a pretty bulky range of stack off hands. Now if his calling range on the flop of hands that may fold to a turn bet is QQ/JJ/AT/AJ/AQ/99/88 that seems very comparable to the girth of hands he's stacking off with. If we think he's calling lighter and want to add JT/QT/66-33 we can also add KT/22 to his value range (I doubt he folds any OESD's/dub guts on the turn, I think it would be bad if he did too). Now I understand mathematically that most of the hands he missed with are going to be much more likely holding than his stack off range. But it seems like we'd have to have him fold 80% of the time everytime he doesn't have AA/KK/AK/KQ/TT/77 for us to like bluffing anything but oesd's and gut shots. I don't think we can say thats true.

Now the less % of the time he folds hands other than AA/KK/AK/KQ/TT/77 the better a three barrel becomes and the worse a two barrel is.